QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS FOR UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION ON DRILLING OPERATIONS. REVIEW AND LESSONS LEARNED

J. C. Cunha, B. Demirdal, P. Gui

Аннотация


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Литература


>1. Newendorp, P. D. and Campbell, John M.: “Risk Analysis - Is it Really Worth the Effort?” paper SPE 5578 presented at the 50th SPE Annual Fall Meeting, Dallas, TX, USA, 28 September-01 Oct. 1975.

2. Newendorp, P. D. and Root, P. J.: “Risk Analysis in Drilling Investment,” Journal of Petroleum Technology, Vol. 20, No. 6, pp. 579-585, June 1968.

3. Cowan, J.V.: “Risk Analysis as Applied to Drilling and Developing an Exploration Prospect”, Paper SPE 2583, Presented at the 44th Annual Fall Meeting of SPE of AIME, Denver, CO, 28 September-01 October, 1969.

4. Newendorp, P.D.: “A Strategy for Implementing Risk Analysis”, Paper SPE 11299, Presented at the SPE Hydrocarbon Economics and Evaluation Symposium, Dallas, TX, 3-4 March, 1983.

5. Turley, J.A.: “A Risk Analysis of Transition Zone Drilling”, Paper SPE 6022, Presented at the 51st Annual Fall Technical Conference and Exhibition of the SPE of AIME, New Orleans, LA, 3-6 October, 1976.

6. Ostebo, R.; Tronstad, L.; and Fikse, T.: “Risk Analysis of Drilling and Well Operations”, Paper SPE/IADC 21952, Presented at the 1991 SPE/IADC Drilling Conference, Amsterdam, Holland, 11-14 March, 1991.

7. Ottesen, S., Zheng, R.H. and McCann, R.C.: “Borehole Stability Assessment Using Quantitative Risk Analysis”, Paper SPE/IADC 52864, Presented at the 1999 SPE/IADC Drilling Conference, Amsterdam, Holland, 9-11 March, 1999.

8. Liang, Q.J.: “Application of Quantitative Risk Analysis to Pore Pressure and Fracture Gradient Prediction”, Paper SPE 77354, Presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, San Antonio, TX, 29 September – 2 October, 2002.

9. McIntosh, John: “Probabilistic Modeling for Well-Construction Performance Management”, Journal of Petroleum Technology (JPT), November, 2004.

10. Thorogood, J. L., Hogg, T. W. and Williamson, H. S.: ”Application of Risk Analysis Methods to Subsurface Well Collisions” paper SPE 23941, SPE Drilling Engineering pp.299-304, December, 1991.

11. Virine, L. and Rapley L.: ”Decision and Risk Analysis Tools for the Oil and Gas Industry,” paper SPE 84821 presented at the SPE Eastern Regional/AAPG Eastern Section Joint Meeting, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, U.S.A, Sept.6-10, 2003.

12. Alexander, J. A. and Lohr, J.R.: ”Risk Analysis: Lessons Learned” paper SPE 49030 presented at the 1998 Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, New Orleans, Louisiana, Sept.27-30, 1998.

13. Coopersmith, E., Dean, G., McVean, J. and Storaune, E.: ”Making Decisions in the Oil and Gas Industry,” Oilfield Review, Winter 2000/2001, pp.2-9.

14. Cunha, J. C.: “Risk Analysis Application for Drilling Operations,” paper CIPC 2004-148 presented at the Petroleum Society’s 5th Canadian International Petroleum Conference (55th Annual Technical Meeting), Calgary, Alberta, Canada, June 8 – 10, 2004.


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